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MeetChristians.com / Forums / Poetry, Prose, Art and stuff

No. 0     Original Topic:  Three Curtains   
By:  rstrats   Gender: M   Age: 75   on  Apr 21, 2015 at 9:21 AM   Viewed 9311 times     
Since there doesn't seem to be a specific area for this, I'm going to stretch the "and stuff" of this forum to include this particular problem.

You are a contestant on a game show. There are three curtains. Behind one of the curtains is a new car. You are asked to choose one of the curtains. Lets say that you choose curtain #1. The host of the show - who knows where the car is so as not to end the game prematurely - opens curtain #3 and of course there is no car behind it. The host now gives you a choice. You can stay with curtain #1 or you can change your choice to curtain #2. The question now is: would it be to your advantage to stay with curtain #1, or would it be to your advantage to change to curtain #2 or would there be no advantage either way?
No. 1     Reply: Re: Three Curtains   
By:  Gary208   Gender: M   Age: 67   on  Apr 22, 2015 at 10:59 AM     
Statistically, if you change your mind, you are often wrong, because your first hunch is usually correct.

However; On the old TV Game Show where this often took place, a little more emphasis was placed on getting the contestant to change their mind IF they did select the higher priced prize.
By the same token, if little emphasis was placed on getting the contestant to change their mind, in that case, it may be wise to do so.

After all, they are ON a Budget, so don't really want to give away too many top dollar prizes in one season.

Is it behind Door Number One, Dooor Number Two, Ooor Dooooor Number Three?

TTUL
Gary
No. 2     Reply: Re: Re: Three Curtains   
By:  rstrats   Gender: M   Age: 76   on  Dec 19, 2015 at 6:31 AM     
Gary208,
re: "However; On the old TV Game Show where this often took place, a little more emphasis was placed on getting the contestant to change their mind IF they did select the higher priced prize."


In this particular game, the host is not trying to influence you in anyway.
No. 3     Reply: Re: Three Curtains   
By:  jadefox   Gender: F   Age: 56   on  Dec 24, 2015 at 6:21 PM     
Statistically speaking, the one you choose would be the more correct one over the other one, after the third was discounted.

Don't ask me why this is so. One of my children is a mathematician and basically said the math favors the one chosen over the one not chosen.